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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

(Paperback)

Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner,

McClelland & Stewart (Publisher)

Published

2016

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Reference, Information and Interdisciplinary subjects Interdisciplinary studies Globalization

By: Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner | Publisher: McClelland & Stewart | Released: 13 Sep 2016

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From one of the world's most highly regarded social scientists comes a seminal book on forecasting that shows, for the first time, how we can all get better at making predictions.

In Superforecasting, Tetlock and co-author Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The authors show us how we can learn from an elite group of "superforecasters,"chosen based on their